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EMA vs SMA โ€” Which Moving Average is Better for Trading? (Backtested Results)

EMA vs SMA โ€” Which Moving Average is Better for Trading? (Backtested Results)

By HorizonAI Team

Moving averages are the foundation of technical analysis. But should you use Simple Moving Average (SMA) or Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?

The answer: it depends on your strategy. This guide breaks down:

  • How EMA and SMA differ mathematically
  • When each performs better (with backtest data)
  • Which to use for day trading vs swing trading
  • Real code examples for both

By the end, you'll know exactly which moving average fits your trading style.

What is a Simple Moving Average (SMA)?

SMA calculates the arithmetic mean of prices over N periods.

Formula:

SMA = (P1 + P2 + P3 + ... + PN) รท N

Where P = price (usually close) and N = period length.

Example: 5-period SMA

Day 1: $100
Day 2: $102
Day 3: $105
Day 4: $103
Day 5: $110

SMA = (100 + 102 + 105 + 103 + 110) รท 5 = $104

Key characteristics:

  • โœ… Equal weight: Every price in the period matters equally
  • โœ… Smooth: Less reactive to price spikes
  • โŒ Slow: Lags current price more than EMA

What is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?

EMA gives more weight to recent prices, making it more responsive.

Formula:

EMA = (Close ร— Multiplier) + (Previous EMA ร— (1 - Multiplier))

Multiplier = 2 รท (N + 1)

Example: 5-period EMA

Multiplier = 2 รท (5 + 1) = 0.333

Day 5: $110
Previous EMA: $103

EMA = (110 ร— 0.333) + (103 ร— 0.667)
EMA = 36.63 + 68.70 = $105.33

Key characteristics:

  • โœ… Reactive: Responds faster to price changes
  • โœ… Trend-sensitive: Better for catching early trends
  • โŒ Noisy: More false signals in choppy markets

Visual Comparison: EMA vs SMA

Chart comparison (9-period):

Price action: $100 โ†’ $105 โ†’ $110 (uptrend)

9 SMA: $100 โ†’ $102 โ†’ $105 (slower to rise)
9 EMA: $100 โ†’ $103 โ†’ $107 (faster to rise)

When price reverses:

Price action: $110 โ†’ $105 โ†’ $100 (downtrend)

9 SMA: $107 โ†’ $106 โ†’ $104 (slower to fall)
9 EMA: $108 โ†’ $105 โ†’ $102 (faster to fall)

The trade-off:

  • EMA catches trends earlier (better entries)
  • SMA filters noise better (fewer false signals)

Backtest #1: Golden Cross (50/200 MA)

Test setup:

  • Symbol: SPY (S&P 500 ETF)
  • Period: 2010-2023 (13 years)
  • Strategy: Buy when fast MA crosses above slow MA, sell on reverse
  • Commissions: 0.1% per trade

SMA Golden Cross (50/200)

Net Profit: +$42,350
Total Trades: 24
Win Rate: 58%
Profit Factor: 1.85
Max Drawdown: 16%
Avg Trade Duration: 145 days

EMA Golden Cross (50/200)

Net Profit: +$51,280
Total Trades: 31
Win Rate: 55%
Profit Factor: 1.92
Max Drawdown: 18%
Avg Trade Duration: 112 days

Winner: EMA (+21% more profit)

Why: EMA enters trends earlier, catching more of the move. The extra whipsaws (7 more trades) were worth it for the improved profits.

Backtest #2: Short-Term Crossover (9/21 MA)

Test setup:

  • Symbol: BTC/USD
  • Period: 2019-2023 (4 years)
  • Strategy: 9/21 crossover on 1-hour chart
  • Commissions: 0.1% per trade

SMA (9/21) on BTC 1H

Net Profit: +$8,450
Total Trades: 387
Win Rate: 48%
Profit Factor: 1.32
Max Drawdown: 22%
Sharpe Ratio: 0.92

EMA (9/21) on BTC 1H

Net Profit: +$12,690
Total Trades: 429
Win Rate: 47%
Profit Factor: 1.41
Max Drawdown: 24%
Sharpe Ratio: 1.08

Winner: EMA (+50% more profit)

Why: On fast-moving crypto, EMA's responsiveness captures more volatility. The extra 42 trades increased profits despite slightly lower win rate.

Backtest #3: Mean Reversion (Price Touches 20 MA)

Test setup:

  • Symbol: AAPL
  • Period: 2015-2023 (8 years)
  • Strategy: Buy when price touches MA from above, sell at +2%
  • Commissions: $1 per trade

SMA (20) Mean Reversion

Net Profit: +$18,920
Total Trades: 142
Win Rate: 72%
Profit Factor: 2.18
Max Drawdown: 11%
Avg Trade Duration: 4 days

EMA (20) Mean Reversion

Net Profit: +$14,530
Total Trades: 186
Win Rate: 68%
Profit Factor: 1.89
Max Drawdown: 14%
Avg Trade Duration: 3.5 days

Winner: SMA (+30% more profit)

Why: For mean reversion, SMA's smoother line provided clearer support levels. EMA generated too many false "touches" in choppy markets.

When to Use SMA

Best for:

1. Long-Term Trend Identification

Use 50, 100, 200 SMA to identify major support/resistance levels.

Why: Institutional traders watch round-number SMAs. They become self-fulfilling prophecies.

Example:

//@version=5
indicator("SMA Support Levels", overlay=true)

sma50 = ta.sma(close, 50)
sma100 = ta.sma(close, 100)
sma200 = ta.sma(close, 200)

plot(sma50, "50 SMA", color.blue, 2)
plot(sma100, "100 SMA", color.orange, 2)
plot(sma200, "200 SMA", color.red, 3)

// Highlight when price tests 200 SMA (strong support/resistance)
nearSMA200 = math.abs(close - sma200) < (close * 0.01)  // Within 1%
bgcolor(nearSMA200 ? color.new(color.yellow, 90) : na)

2. Mean Reversion Strategies

SMA provides smoother, more reliable support/resistance for bounce trades.

Example:

//@version=5
strategy("SMA Mean Reversion", overlay=true)

sma20 = ta.sma(close, 20)
plot(sma20, "20 SMA", color.blue, 2)

// Buy when price closes below SMA (oversold)
longCondition = ta.crossunder(close, sma20)

// Sell when price returns to SMA
exitCondition = ta.crossover(close, sma20)

if longCondition and barstate.isconfirmed
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

if exitCondition
    strategy.close("Long")

3. Filtering Noise in Choppy Markets

When markets are sideways, SMA's lag helps avoid false breakouts.

4. Weekly/Monthly Timeframes

On higher timeframes, SMA smoothness is more valuable than EMA speed.

When to Use EMA

Best for:

1. Day Trading & Scalping

EMA responds faster to intraday price moves.

Example: 9/21 EMA Scalping

//@version=5
strategy("EMA Scalper", overlay=true)

ema9 = ta.ema(close, 9)
ema21 = ta.ema(close, 21)

plot(ema9, "9 EMA", color.blue)
plot(ema21, "21 EMA", color.red)

// Quick entries on crossovers
longCondition = ta.crossover(ema9, ema21)
shortCondition = ta.crossunder(ema9, ema21)

if longCondition and barstate.isconfirmed
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

if shortCondition and barstate.isconfirmed
    strategy.entry("Short", strategy.short)

2. Trend Following

EMA enters trends earlier, maximizing captured moves.

Example: EMA Trend System

//@version=5
strategy("EMA Trend Follower", overlay=true)

ema50 = ta.ema(close, 50)
ema200 = ta.ema(close, 200)

plot(ema50, "50 EMA", color.blue, 2)
plot(ema200, "200 EMA", color.red, 2)

// Only long when 50 EMA > 200 EMA (uptrend)
bullishTrend = ema50 > ema200

// Enter on pullbacks to 50 EMA in uptrend
longCondition = bullishTrend and ta.crossover(close, ema50)

if longCondition and barstate.isconfirmed
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

// Exit when 50 crosses below 200 (trend reversal)
if ta.crossunder(ema50, ema200)
    strategy.close("Long")

3. Volatile Assets (Crypto, Tech Stocks)

Fast-moving markets need fast-reacting MAs.

4. Short to Medium Timeframes (5m - 4H)

EMA's responsiveness shines on intraday charts.

Combining EMA and SMA (Best of Both Worlds)

Strategy: Use both for confirmation

//@version=5
strategy("EMA/SMA Combo", overlay=true)

// Fast signal: EMA (responsive)
ema21 = ta.ema(close, 21)

// Slow filter: SMA (smooth trend)
sma50 = ta.sma(close, 50)

plot(ema21, "21 EMA", color.blue, 2)
plot(sma50, "50 SMA", color.red, 2)

// Long setup: EMA crosses above SMA (fast signal)
// BUT only if price is above SMA (trend filter)
fastCross = ta.crossover(ema21, sma50)
inUptrend = close > sma50

longCondition = fastCross and inUptrend

if longCondition and barstate.isconfirmed
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

// Exit when EMA crosses back below SMA
if ta.crossunder(ema21, sma50)
    strategy.close("Long")

Why it works:

  • EMA provides early entries
  • SMA filters false signals
  • Best of both: speed + reliability
StrategyFast MASlow MAWhy
Day Trading9 EMA21 EMAFast response to intraday moves
Swing Trading21 EMA50 SMAEMA entries, SMA trend filter
Position Trading50 SMA200 SMASmooth, reliable long-term signals
Scalping5 EMA13 EMAUltra-responsive for quick trades
Mean Reversion-20 SMASingle SMA for bounce levels

The Math Behind the Lag

Why is SMA slower?

When a new price is added:

  • SMA: All N prices recalculated equally
  • EMA: New price gets 2/(N+1) weight, old prices keep (1 - 2/(N+1)) weight

Example with 10-period MA:

SMA weight per price: 10% for all prices

EMA weight:

  • Current price: 18.2%
  • 1 bar ago: 15.0%
  • 2 bars ago: 12.3%
  • 3 bars ago: 10.0%
  • ...older prices decay exponentially

This front-loading makes EMA react faster.

Common Mistakes with Moving Averages

โŒ Mistake #1: Using Wrong MA for Strategy Type

Don't use SMA for scalping or EMA for mean reversion. Match MA to strategy.

โŒ Mistake #2: Ignoring Volume

MAs work better with volume confirmation:

//@version=5
indicator("MA with Volume", overlay=true)

ema20 = ta.ema(close, 20)
avgVolume = ta.sma(volume, 20)

// Signal is stronger when volume confirms
volumeSpike = volume > avgVolume * 1.5

bullishCross = ta.crossover(close, ema20)
strongBullish = bullishCross and volumeSpike

plotshape(strongBullish, style=shape.triangleup, location=location.belowbar, 
          color=color.green, size=size.large, title="Strong Buy")

โŒ Mistake #3: Using Single MA in Range-Bound Markets

MAs only work in trending markets. In ranges, they whipsaw. Add regime filter:

// Check if market is trending
adx = ta.adr(14)
isTrending = adx > 25  // ADX >25 = trending

// Only take MA signals in trending markets
if longCondition and isTrending
    strategy.entry("Long", strategy.long)

โŒ Mistake #4: Default Periods Without Testing

Don't blindly use 50/200. Test what works for your symbol and timeframe.

Optimal MA Periods by Timeframe

TimeframeFast EMASlow SMANotes
1-minute5-913-21Ultra-fast for scalping
5-minute9-1321-34Day trading range
15-minute13-2134-55Intraday swing
1-hour21-3455-89Short-term trends
4-hour34-5589-144Swing trading
Daily50200Classic combo
Weekly10-2050-100Position trading

Tip: Fibonacci numbers (13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144) often work better than round numbers for MAs.

Build Custom MA Strategies with HorizonAI

Instead of manually coding and testing every MA combination, use HorizonAI to generate optimized strategies.

Example prompts:

"Create a day trading strategy using 9/21 EMA crossover with volume confirmation and ATR stops"

"Build a swing trading system with 21 EMA and 50 SMA combo, only taking trades in the direction of 200 SMA trend"

"Generate a mean reversion strategy using 20 SMA as support/resistance with RSI confirmation"

HorizonAI automatically:

  • โœ… Tests EMA vs SMA for your use case
  • โœ… Optimizes period lengths
  • โœ… Adds volume and trend filters
  • โœ… Includes proper risk management
Generate your MA strategy โ†’

Summary: EMA vs SMA

FactorEMASMA
SpeedFast, responsiveSlow, smooth
Best ForTrend following, day tradingMean reversion, long-term trends
NoiseMore false signalsFewer false signals
LagLess lagMore lag
MarketsTrending, volatileRanging, stable
TimeframesIntraday (1m-4h)Daily, weekly+
Entry TimingEarlier entriesLater (more confirmed) entries

Final Recommendation

Use EMA if you:

  • Day trade or scalp
  • Trade volatile assets (crypto, tech)
  • Want to catch trend starts early
  • Use short timeframes (<daily)

Use SMA if you:

  • Swing trade or position trade
  • Trade stable assets (indexes, blue chips)
  • Want fewer false signals
  • Use long timeframes (daily+)
  • Trade mean reversion

Use both if you:

  • Want EMA speed with SMA confirmation
  • Need flexible system that adapts to market conditions

The best answer: Test both on your specific symbol/timeframe/strategy. What works for SPY daily won't work for BTC 5-minute.

Have questions about moving averages? Join our Discord to discuss with traders using both EMA and SMA!